Weekly Market RecapAt this week's Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting, rates were held steady and the Fed saw the US economy continuing to expand at a "moderate pace" with "strong jobs gains" somewhat offset by "soft" US investment and exports. In the EU, industrial production for January saw its best growth since September 2009. One potential mistake we believe you can make with your investments is to hold too much of an individual stock, especially the stock of your employer. Financial and statistical research has demonstrated in our view that holding smaller investments in a larger number of stocks can offer a better risk/return trade-off than concentrating your investments in a single stock. Furthermore, if you're holding a large amount of stock in your employer, the risk may be greater because your income and career prospects may be linked to the fortunes of your investment portfolio, meaning your overall income is subject to potentially greater risk than with a more diversified portfolio. We believe broad-based Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) can offer a good option for diversification because many hold thousands of individual stocks or bonds within a single ETF. Then we see an additional level of benefit coming from diverse asset classes used in portfolio construction. Just as holding a large number of stocks can lower risk relative to anticipated return, so holding different asset classes and taking broad geographical exposure has the potential to smooth returns over time. For example, stocks and government bonds have historically offered a portfolio hedge when held together as they can, at times, move in different directions. So we believe diversification is a key tenet of financial theory and ETFs and diverse asset classes are important to achieving it. Notes: Disclaimer: Your Portfolio Summary
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Saturday, March 19, 2016
Your Weekly Update - Fed Holds Rates Steady
Saturday, March 5, 2016
Your Weekly Update - Markets Continue To Gain From Recent Lows
Weekly Market RecapThis week was a positive one for most major stock markets. Vehicle sales in February hit a 15 year high in the US and manufacturing survey data was less negative than many had anticipated. Internationally, China cut its reserve ratio requirement in a bid to stimulate bank lending and Eurozone inflation slipped into negative territory for February, potentially putting pressure on the European Central Bank to take action at next week's policy review. The oil price, which has attracted much attention recently, continued to lift from recent lows. When asked what the stock market will do, the great financier of the late 19th century, J.P. Morgan said, "It will fluctuate." We have seen volatility in the markets for the first portion of 2016, starting off with market weakness, but generally replaced by positive moves in recent weeks. A key thing to remember at times like these is that as Jeremy Siegel of Wharton states "Over the short run, equities are indeed a very volatile asset class. But over the long run, perhaps the most stable asset class of all, delivering the highest returns." Of course, this is a historical statement, and the future may differ materially, but Siegel puts historical annualized US equity returns at 6.7% after inflation when averaged between 1802 and 2011. Notes: Disclaimer: Your Portfolio Summary
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Sunday, February 28, 2016
Your Weekly Update - Reminder On IRA Deadlines
Weekly Market RecapThe IMF this week proposed that the leaders of major economies consider a broad-based approach to strengthen global growth. This is based on the IMF's assessment of potential downside risks to the global economy given potential weakness in China and generally falling commodity prices. The IMF's proposal included supplementing already generally low interest rates with other initiatives, such as government investment to offer stimulus. However, the US Treasury Secretary responded he saw several economies performing well and that investors should not "expect a crisis response in a non-crisis environment". Elsewhere this week, early reads on February manufacturing activity via PMI surveys implied growth in the US and Eurozone, but at a level that suggested a loss of momentum relative to prior months. Your Portfolio Summary
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Friday, February 26, 2016
FutureAdvisor | Market movements have created an opportunity to rebalance
As part of our 24/7 monitoring of your investments and the markets, we want to alert you that it may be a good time to rebalance your portfolio based on recent market movements. Based on the market fluctuations since our last rebalance email on January 21, 2016, we are recommending that you take action in 1 of your accounts. If you have any questions or want to talk to an advisor just reply to this email. Thanks again for using FutureAdvisor. If you wish to change your email settings, visit your Settings. | ||
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Saturday, February 20, 2016
Your Weekly Update - Markets Rebound From Recent Lows
Weekly Market RecapThis week saw the markets move up in a short trading week for US markets, and the S&P 500 enjoyed its biggest 2 day gain since last summer. US industrial production showed higher than expected growth for January. This was potentially important given US industrial production has appeared weak in recent months. There was further speculation regarding limits to oil production across major oil producers as Saudi Arabia and Russia considered freezing oil production at current levels. This news, in part, helped oil move to its first weekly gain in a month. The Federal Reserve released the minutes from their January meeting, noting an improving US labor market. This positive trend was somewhat offset by uncertainty surrounding China and potential market stresses that could be caused by lower commodity prices. Overall, the Federal Reserve did not see any material changes to their forecasts as a result of recent events but noted that uncertainty had increased. Notes: Disclaimer: Your Portfolio Summary
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Sunday, February 14, 2016
Your Weekly Update - Market Volatility Continues
Weekly Market RecapThis week saw data on increasing job openings in the US, potentially building on last week's decline in the unemployment rate to 4.9% for January. Both pieces of data appear to underscore the theme of a strong employment situation in the US currently. Internationally, India's GDP grew at 7.3% for the final 3 months of 2015, putting it among the fastest growing global economies. The oil price was volatile for another week. We want to take some time this week to explain how our rebalancing works, as clients often ask. Rebalancing is intended to keep your portfolio aligned with its overall risk and return goals. We use threshold-based rebalancing so that if an asset class drifts too far from its target allocation, we generally will rebalance your portfolio. However, within this rebalance decision, we also take into account many other constraints including the tax implications of the trade and any short-term redemption fees. Our rebalancing model is a tiered system, such that the asset groups which we believe matter more to your portfolio's risk/return characteristics have less flexibility to move than others. Our research suggests allowing some small drift in your asset mix is optimal, since potential tax costs and fees associated with excessive trading can erode portfolio returns based on our general analysis of historic market performance. The frequency of rebalancing is dependent on market movements and, all else equal, greater market volatility will typically drive more rebalancing activity. It is important to note that rebalancing is not necessarily based solely on whether the markets are up or down. It is instead based on how different asset classes within your portfolio move in relation to each other. We monitor the markets and monitor your portfolio daily for appropriate rebalancing opportunities, but only take action when we believe the benefits of doing so outweigh the costs. For Premium customers, this all happens automatically. Notes: Disclaimer: Your Portfolio Summary
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Saturday, February 6, 2016
Your Weekly Update - Accessing Your 2015 Tax Documents
Weekly Market RecapThis week saw further volatility in the oil price, as has been a theme of recent weeks. US manufacturing activity contracted for the 4th consecutive month based on survey data in January, though US consumer income increased in December. Overseas, German unemployment fell to a new low of 6.2%, hitting the its lowest level since German reunification. Your Portfolio Summary
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