Weekly Market RecapUS economic growth improved this week, growing 2.3% on the first estimate for the second quarter. In addition, growth for the first quarter was revised up to 0.6% growth. This was positive, in our view, as growth was previously estimated to have declined in the quarter. Jobless claims remain very low in the US and last week's number represented a 42 year low. Internationally, the Chinese markets fell sharply on Monday, but, despite the recent declines Chinese stocks are up over 10% year to date and over 60% on a one year view. The Chinese economy is projected to grow at 6.8% this year, which is ahead of all major economies except India on International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts. China represents about 2-4% of our recommended portfolio depending on age and risk tolerance. A reminder this week on the potential risks of stock picking relative to tracking the market. We view one of the biggest dangers with individual stocks as holding too much stock in your employer. You already rely on your employer for income, so adding stock in your employer increases your overall financial risk. Ownership of employer stock within 401(k) plans has declined in recent years, in part because many employers are eliminating the employer stock choice in favor of diversified funds. Yet, it still represents over 10% of overall 401(k) holdings at some large companies and that's far too much in our opinion. On a broader scale, stock picking also risks leaving you unintentionally overexposed to certain sectors relative to the broader market. This can lead to a worse risk to return trade-off for your portfolio. Also, owning individual stocks can be less tax efficient than owning the index since your portfolio turnover is likely to be higher which can increase your costs, including taxation. Another common mistake investors make with regard to stock-picking is that of choosing mostly B2C (Business to Consumer) brands. Because investors hear about and interact with brands such as Apple, Walmart and Procter & Gamble, they tend to favor those companies when stock-picking. Meanwhile, B2B (Business to Business) companies represent a large portion of our economy and these are often underrepresented in stock portfolios. Examples of B2B companies include Oracle, Schlumberger and SAP. By using broadly diversified ETFs, our investors get exposure to both types of companies. These are all reasons why we favor a diversified selection of ETFs to create a low-cost portfolio for retirement investing. Disclaimer: Your Portfolio Summary
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Sunday, August 2, 2015
Your Weekly Update - US GDP Improves
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